Market prediction for 4th april 2025

“4th April Market Outlook: Safe trading strategies for Nifty 50 with risk management tips. Know when to enter/exit for optimal returns.”

Best Option Stratagies for 4th April 2025

1. Nifty 50 Iron Condor (Low Risk)

  • Sell 23,100 PE @ ₹55
  • Sell 23,400 CE @ ₹50
  • Buy 23,000 PE @ ₹30 (protection)
  • Buy 23,500 CE @ ₹25 (protection)
  • Max Profit: ₹4,500/lot
  • Max Loss: ₹5,500/lot

2. Bank Nifty Bull Call Spread

  • Buy 50,500 CE @ ₹120
  • Sell 51,000 CE @ ₹60
  • Net Debit: ₹60
  • Max Profit: ₹440 (if closes above 51,000)
  • Breakeven: 50,560

3. High-Risk: Nifty Straddle (Earnings Play)

  • Buy 23,200 CE @ ₹85
  • Buy 23,200 PE @ ₹80
  • Total Cost: ₹165
  • Profit Zone: Below 23,035 or Above 23,365

OI-Based Support/Resistance

IndexStrong SupportWeak SupportWeak ResistanceStrong Resistance
Nifty23,00023,10023,30023,500
Bank Nifty50,00050,30050,70051,000

Sensex

  • Likely Range: 76,800 to 77,500

Top 3 Stocks to Trade on 4th April 2025

1. Reliance Industries (Spot: ₹2,950)

  • Trade Setup:
    • Break above ₹2,980 = Buy for ₹3,080 target
    • Fall below ₹2,920 = Avoid (weakness signal)
  • Catalyst: Jio Platforms IPO rumors

2. ICICI Bank (Spot: ₹1,180)

  • Option Strategy:
    • Buy 1,200 CE @ ₹25 (April 10 expiry)
    • Stop loss @ ₹15
    • Target: ₹40-50 if Bank Nifty crosses 51,000

3. Bharti Airtel (Spot: ₹1,280)

  • Swing Trade:
    • Accumulate between ₹1,260-1,270
    • Target ₹1,350 in 2 weeks
    • SL ₹1,240 (closing basis)

Sector-wise Opportunities

SectorActionBest PickReason
BankingBuyKotak Mahindra BankUndervalued vs peers
ITPartial Profit BookingTCSUS recession fears
AutoAccumulateMaruti SuzukiFestival demand surge
FMCGHoldNestle IndiaDefensive play

Intraday Trading Tips

  1. First 30 Minutes: Wait for confirmation of trend
  2. 11 AM – 1 PM: Best for positional entries
  3. Last Hour: Square off risky positions

Pro Tip: Watch USD/INR movement – Above 83.50 hurts IT stocks, below 83.20 helps.

Economic Triggers to Watch

  • RBI MPC minutes (released at 10 AM)
  • US jobless claims data (6 PM IST)
  • FII/DII activity in early trade

Word of Caution: April series typically sees volatility due to:
✓ Financial year closing flows
✓ Q4 earnings anticipation
✓ Election year positioning

Closing Bell Projection

  • Bull Case: Nifty closes above 23,400 (if banks rally)
  • Bear Case: Profit-booking drags to 22,950
  • Most Likely: Rangebound 23,100-23,300 close

Remember: “The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” – Trade with strict stop losses.